August, 2010


31
Aug 10

Version 1.1 – Minor Changes

By poplar demand I’ve now rearranged the interviews alphabetically instead of by the dates taken. I also added two pictures two clarify some details in the “Evolution of Cloud” section.

Unbundling of Business Processes

Interaction costs are money and time that are expended whenever people and companies exchange goods, services, or ideas. The exchanges can occur within companies, among companies, or between companies and customers. They can take many everyday forms, including management meetings, conferences, handset conversations, sales calls, reports, and memos. In 1999 John Hagel and Marc Singer published an article in the Harvard Business Review called Unbundling the Corporation . The article is focusing on the economic transformation of verticals across the sectors of the global economy, something telecoms should be familiar with by now. In a nutshell, Hagel and Singer found that all business processes of any enterprise fall into three core categories – they call them processes – and that reduced interaction costs leads to an unbundling of these three core categories:

three core business processes of any corporation

However, the business mechanics for these three core business processes are competing, and their divergent economic, cultural, and competition-related imperatives inevitably conflict and lead to compromises and trade-offs. A specialized competitor who does not have to make these compromises can offer specific elements of a core business much more effectively than a fully integrated company. Telecoms know this all too well: other companies seem to innovate quicker, Facebook seems to be able to build a deeper emotional customer relationship on a larger scale, and so on. That wasn’t an issue as long as interaction costs were quite high, as interaction costs could be used as market entrance barriers.

Service Oriented Architecture

Web 2.0 accelerates business unbundling by reducing interaction costs. Its customer-centric approach, .harnessing collective intelligence and creating an environment or platform of intellectual exchange., lead to app stores and open development initiatives. In a way, Web 2.0 opened the doors to cost effective out-sourcing. In order to prevail in the acceleration of business unbundling and market fragmentation even lower interaction costs are required, fueling the operational model of Web 2.0. Constant change of suppliers, services, vendors, and technologies is not something telecoms were very fond of so far, as a natural result of their focus on long- term strategic network investments. What they needed was a design framework. And not just any framework, but one that is

  • Service and customer oriented;
  • Allows the reuse of services, applications, and functional behavior;
  • Permits agile change in business processes on top of existing services and information flows;
  • Supports real-time monitoring of services and information flows;
  • Allows the exposure of enterprise processes, services, and functions to third parties within and outside the enterprise.

Like so often such a framework already existed since the early nineties. This design framework was called the Service Oriented Architecture (SOA).

Cloud Business Model

You need to align your IT with a very specific Service Oriented Architecture to be compatible with the operational model of Web 2.0, while being able to source specific flexible and agile services from specialized external companies – 3rd parties – and to unbundle and re-bundle your business as needed. However, ASPs moved the complexity from your basement to their basement – you are now running the servers somewhere else, but they are still run on specific servers. You also usually only pay for the hosting, not the software itself, and ASPs also usually host one customer per instance of the software. The complexity remains. What is missing is the business design of the operational aspects as well as architectural design: you probably need to do something different or new in order to engage and disengage quicker with 3rd parties and cater to the Web 2.0 operational model. These challenges along with some changed economics of datacenter and network operations created six characteristics for the Cloud-way to consume or offer services: virtualized resources, elastic resource utilization, automation, utility pricing, self-service provisioning, and managed operations.

Web 2.0 operational model, SOA, and the Cloud business model

For telecoms, Cloud is a business model (again: in a broad sense) of providing services that caters to a Web 2.0 operational model and is manufactured within a Service Oriented Architecture (the free eBook describes the evolution of Cloud in more in detail).

However, the business mechanics for these three core business processes are competing, and their divergent economic, cultural, and competition-related imperatives inevitably conflict and lead to compromises and trade-offs. A specialized competitor who does not have to make these compromises can offer specific elements of a core business much more effectively than a fully integrated company.

27
Aug 10

Cloud Computing – How Did We Get Here?

I’m not a historian. So to paraphrase Feynman: “What I am telling you is a sort of conventionalized myth-story that the consultants tell to their clients, and those clients tell to their clients, and is not necessarily related to the actual historical development, which I do not really know!”

This is the nutshell version of a much longer section:

At its core, any business has three main business processes: customer relationship management, product innovation, and infrastructure management. Business Unbundling describes the effect when these three core business processes become separated by specialized companies due to reduced interaction costs within and between companies and customers. The operational model of Web 2.0 is helping to massively reduce interaction costs, subsequently increasing market fragmentation. In order to deal with the operational model of Web 2.0 and the associated fragmentation, the ICT industry required a design framework that allows flexibility while providing operational stability. The principles of Service Oriented Architectures (SOA) from the early 90ties flourished. If Web 2.0 is an operational model, and SOA its design framework, then Cloud is the (business) model for service provisioning and exposure to external and internal parties.

There are, in fact, many Cloud business models, each with its own value proposition, key resources and activities, revenue streams and costs, but I am alluding to the fact that Cloud is merely a new way of doing IT business, and not necessarily a new technology or service. At least not initially – but we will get to that.


16
Aug 10

New Searchable Book Version

I uploaded a new version of the book that now is also searchable and copy-able. You might have noticed that in the previous version you got some nice unicode characters when copy+pasting. Michael Spiller (LinkedIn, Facebook) notified me this morning that search also doesn’t work then. That’s not good.

Let me now if you find any other problems or issues with the version – you should be able to copy text and images from it…


15
Aug 10

Download the Free E-Book Now!

I put the site live. You can download the 224 pages, full color, 8.5MB PDF e-book for free. Yes. The book is free. You will be able to order a soft-cover version at Amazon soon at print-cost (probably around $30) [2010-09-27 UPDATE: Amazon Link Here] , otherwise knock yourself out and print 224 yourself :) But…

We Need Your Help!

The book is free, but we would like to hear from you! The interviews included in this book took place over the course of nine months. Many things happened since we began. People changed jobs and positions, companies were acquired, others failed and went out of business. We set out to gain insights and intelligence on a long-term roadmap for telecom technology, product, and service innovations. As always with long-term outlooks, we probably got a few things wrong (hopefully only a few). Please tell us!

We want to add another chapter to this book where you – the reader – get your voice. To tell us where we were right; where things are more complex and layered than we thought; and where we were plain-out wrong.
But we need your help! Call us! Email us! Leave a comment on our website! Contact us on LinkedIn, Xing, Twitter, Facebook, etc.! We are looking forward to hearing from you. Continue reading →


13
Aug 10

Final Proof – Yay!

Cover Page, still with the old "Volume" marker

After some sleepless nights about the formatting and fitting all the interviews into the maximum of 250 pages (full color, full bleed) I finally hold a proof in my hand that looks pretty good – I think I’m going to go with it :)

I changed the line spacing back to 11pt and all fonts to 10pt – which of course means I had to change the locations of all pictures as well. Easy done in WinWord, of course, which is great for book layouts. (I hope you get my irony here…). Also a nice touch of WinWord: If you enter custom page sizes you would think that if you select “Page Size: Custom” and enter “7.125 x 10.250″ it would actually be that custom size. But Noooooooo, not so fast. WinWord is very helpful: Hey buddy, your format is really close to something called “B5 (JIS)” – a Japanese B5 version – so without even telling you I’ll correct that for you to the right format. ARGH. So finally I figured out how to prevent that (define a new page size in your PDF printer). Of course you have to re-do all margins again. And that means that you have to do all image locations again…

Example inside page with full bleed image

Anyhow. Proof is done. The pictures look great in print, really better than I expected. I’ll put the website live over the weekend so you can download the book (for free, of course!). The book should be available in Amazon by the end of next week, in case anyone wants to read it “offline” (and not print 250 pages yourself).


2
Aug 10

NewBay Interview

Timo Bauer, GM Americas for NewBay, was so nice to give me a very detailed picture of their product roadmap. Yes, he sneaked into the book in the very last minute, but it’s  one of the best telecom-centric interviews I had.

One quote regarding Access:

Today most people think about how to get content onto certain devices. The “Sync” paradigm is all over the place. We think that the “sync” paradigm is actually “anti the cloud”. It is not about “syncing” content rather about enabling easy “Access” to content that sits in the cloud.

and another one regarding Trust:

I think this is a huge opportunity for carriers. I personally am more than happy and even prefer to use a trusted Tier 1 carrier brand to do that for me rather than a Web Service with questionable [terms and conditions]. Who do I trust to manage my personal content for the next 30 years? There are not many companies with the right intentions and capabilities to do that. [...]. The Facebook privacy discussion is just the beginning in this regard. So why not provide a technology platform to carriers that allows them to share all the user generated data with third parties, BUT also allows them technically as well as policy driven to retrieve the data back. The carrier will act as your trusted partner in this case and I believe no one in the value chain is better suited to do this better than the carrier.

Thanks, Timo!